Canadian federal election, 2004

• For a seat-by-seat results, see Results of the Canadian federal election, 2004.
• ''For a timeline of major events and campaign stops, see Timeline of the Canadian federal election, 2004

All three major national parties ran under different leaders than in the previous election, held in 2000. This election also marked the debut of the new Conservative Party of Canada and Progressive Canadian Party, and the return of the Christian Heritage Party of Canada and Libertarian Party of Canada.

At one point, most pundits had expected an election in the late spring, but the emergence of issues such as the inquiry into the sponsorship scandal likely delayed the call. Although the campaign was initially widely expected to be a relatively facile romp for Martin to a fourth consecutive Liberal majority government, many began instead to predict a far more closely-fought election. Polls started to indicate the possibility of only a minority government for the Liberals or even the Conservatives, fueling speculation of coalitions with the other parties. In the end, the Liberals fared better than the last-minute polls had led them to fear, but not well enough to govern alone.

The election took place on June 28, 2004. Polling times were arranged to allow results from most provinces to be announced more or less simultaneously, with the exception of Atlantic Canada, where results were known before the close of polling in other provinces.

Table of contents

1 Results 1.1 National 1.2 Province by Province breakdown 1.2.1 Province and Territory tables 1.2.1.1 : 1.2.2 Schematic map 1.3 Seat by Seat breakdown 1.4 Notes 2 Major Parties 2.5 Liberal Party of Canada 2.6 Conservative Party of Canada 2.7 New Democratic Party 2.8 Bloc Québécois 3 Minor Parties 4 Campaign Slogans 5 Issues 6 Timeline 7 Leadership races of 2003 and 2004 8 Poll results 9 See also 10 External links

Results

What the 38th Canadian parliament will look like (subject to change)

155 seats must be held by a party in order for it to form a majority government. The Liberals came short of this number, winning 135. Until extremely close ridings were decided on the west coast, it appeared as though the Liberals' seat total, if combined with that of the left-wing New Democratic Party (NDP), would be sufficient to hold a majority in the House of Commons. In the end, the Conservatives won Vancouver Island North, West Vancouver-Sunshine Coast, and New Westminster-Coquitlam, after trailing in all three ridings, as sub-totals were announced through the evening. As a result, the combined seat count of the Liberals and the NDP was 154, while the other 154 seats belonged to the Conservatives, Bloquistes, and one independent Chuck Cadman (previously a Conservative). This could signal an evenly-split house; however, some indications suggested that, rather than forming an official coalition with the NDP, the Liberal party would attempt to lead with a minority government, obtaining majorities for their legislation on an ad hoc basis.

National

The Liberal Party was elected as a minority government. The strength of that government may yet be determined by automatic recounts in ridings which are very close.

37.5

Party	Party Leader	Seats			Popular Vote
		Before	After	% Change	#	%
Liberal Party of Canada	Paul Martin	168	135	align="right"
4,951,107	36.7
Conservative Party of Canada	Stephen Harper	72	99	align="right"
3,994,682	29.6
Bloc Québécois	Gilles Duceppe	33	54	+63.6	1,672,874	12.4
New Democratic Party	Jack Layton	14	19	+35.7	2,116,536	15.7
Green Party of Canada	Jim Harris	0	0	0	580,816	4.3
Christian Heritage Party of Canada	Ron Gray		0	0	40,283	0.3
Marijuana Party of Canada	Marc-Boris St-Maurice	0	0	0	33,590	0.3
Progressive Canadian Party	Ernie Schreiber		0	0	10,773	0.1
Marxist-Leninist Party of Canada	Sandra L. Smith	0	0	0	9,065	0.1
Canadian Action Party	Connie Fogal	0	0	0	8,930	0.1
Communist Party of Canada	Miguel Figueroa	0	0	0	4,568	0.0
Libertarian Party of Canada	Jean-Serge Brisson		0	0	1,964	0.0
Independent		10	0	N/A	47,596	0.4
No Affiliation		0	1	N/A	17,465	0.1
Vacant		4	0	N/A
Total		301	308	+2.3	13,489,559	100.0
Sources: http://www.elections.ca -- http://www.parl.gc.ca/information/about/process/house/hfer/hfer.asp?Language=E History of the Federal Electoral Ridings since 1867]
Other elections: 1997 2000 2004 Canadian federal elections -- Election results 2000-

n.a. = not applicable - party was not recognized in previous election

Province by Province breakdown

Province and Territory tables

Showing change from the 2000 election. The votes and seats won by the Conservative Party are compared with the combined totals won by the Canadian Alliance and the Progressive Conservative Party in 2000.

ALBERTA

Registered voters:     2,141,144 

Votes cast:            1,270,815   59.4

------------------------------------------------------------

Party                 Votes        %      Change    Seats

------------------------------------------------------------

Conservative Party       783,379   61.6   -10.7      26  +02

Liberal Party            279,219   22.0   +01.1       2  

New Democratic Party     121,249   09.5   +04.1       -

Other                     86,968   06.8               -

------------------------------------------------------------

Total                  1,270,815                     28  +02

------------------------------------------------------------   

BRITISH COLUMBIA

Registered voters:     2,713,421 

Votes cast:            1,724,618   63.6

------------------------------------------------------------

Party                 Votes        %      Change    Seats

------------------------------------------------------------

Conservative Party       625,071   36.2   -20.5      22  -05

Liberal Party            492,865   28.6   +01.0       8  +03

New Democratic Party     457,815   26.6   +15.3       5  +03

Other                     148,867  08.6               1  +01

------------------------------------------------------------

Total                  1,724,618                     36  +02

------------------------------------------------------------

MANITOBA 

Registered voters:       836,599 

Votes cast:              472,796   56.5

------------------------------------------------------------

Party                 Votes        %      Change    Seats

------------------------------------------------------------

Conservative Party       185,022   39.1   -05.8       7  +02

Liberal Party            156,970   33.2   +00.7       3  -02

New Democratic Party     110,901   23.5   +02.7       4

Other                     19,903   04.2               -

------------------------------------------------------------

Total                    472,796                     14

------------------------------------------------------------

NEW BRUNSWICK  

Registered voters:       594,738 

Votes cast:              369,407   62.1

------------------------------------------------------------

Party                 Votes        %      Change    Seats

------------------------------------------------------------

Conservative Party       114,962   31.1   -15.1       2  -01

Liberal Party            164,903   44.6   +02.9       7  +01

New Democratic Party      75,951   20.6   +08.9       1

Other                     13,591   03.7               -

------------------------------------------------------------

Total                    369,407                     10

------------------------------------------------------------

NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR

Registered voters:       403,568

Votes cast:              198,366   49.2

------------------------------------------------------------

Party                 Votes        %      Change    Seats

------------------------------------------------------------

Conservative Party        64,120   32.3   -06.0       2

Liberal Party             95,178   48.0   +03.0       5

New Democratic Party      34,694   17.5   +04.5       -

Other                      4,374   02.2               -

------------------------------------------------------------

Total                    198,366                      7

------------------------------------------------------------

NOVA SCOTIA

Registered voters:       702,399

Votes cast:              433,577   61.7

------------------------------------------------------------

Party                 Votes        %      Change    Seats

------------------------------------------------------------

Conservative Party       121,398   28.0   -10.7       3  -01

Liberal Party            171,680   39.6   +03.1       6  +02

New Democratic Party     123,360   28.5   +04.6       2  -01

Other                     17,139   03.9               -

------------------------------------------------------------

Total                    433,577                     11

------------------------------------------------------------

ONTARIO

Registered voters:     8,206,023

Votes cast:            5,060,308   61.7

------------------------------------------------------------

Party                 Votes        %      Change    Seats

------------------------------------------------------------

Conservative Party     1,592,724   31.5   -06.5      24  +22

Liberal Party          2,260,172   44.7   -06.8      75  -25

New Democratic Party     915,310   18.1   +09.8       7  +06

Other                    292,102   05.8               -

------------------------------------------------------------

Total                  5,060,308                    106  +03

------------------------------------------------------------

PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND

Registered voters:       108,169 

Votes cast:               76,421   70.7

------------------------------------------------------------

Party                 Votes        %      Change    Seats

------------------------------------------------------------

Conservative Party        23,478   30.7   -12.7       -

Liberal Party             40,103   52.5   +05.5       4

New Democratic Party       9,558   12.5   +03.5       -

Other                      3,282   04.3               -

------------------------------------------------------------

Total                     76,421                      4

------------------------------------------------------------

QUEBEC

Registered voters:     5,803,390  

Votes cast:            3,424,713   59.0

------------------------------------------------------------

Party                 Votes        %      Change    Seats

------------------------------------------------------------

Conservative Party       300,499   08.8   -02.9       -  -01

Liberal Party          1,159,879   33.9   -10.3      21  -15

New Democratic Party     158,838   04.6   +02.8       -

Quebec Bloc            1,672,184   48.8   +09.0      54  +16

Other                    133,313   03.9               -

------------------------------------------------------------

Total                  3,424,713                     75

------------------------------------------------------------

SASKATCHEWAN

Registered voters:        721,357 

Votes cast:               425,946  59.1

------------------------------------------------------------

Party                 Votes        %      Change    Seats

------------------------------------------------------------

Conservative Party       178,180   41.8   -10.7      13  +03

Liberal Party            115,671   27.2   +06.5       1  -01

New Democratic Party      99,479   23.4   -02.8       -  -02

Other                     32,616   07.6               -

------------------------------------------------------------

Total                    425,946                     14

------------------------------------------------------------ 

TERRITORIES

NORTH-WEST TERRITORIES

Registered voters:        28,335

Votes cast:               13,471   47.5  

------------------------------------------------------------

Party                 Votes        %      Change    Seats

------------------------------------------------------------

Conservative Party         2,314   17.2   +07.2       -

Liberal Party              5,313   39.4   -06.2       1

New Democratic Party       5,261   39.1   +12.4       -

Other                        583   04.3               -

------------------------------------------------------------

Total                     13,471                      1

------------------------------------------------------------

NUNAVUT

Registered voters:        16,872

Votes cast:                7,243   42.9

------------------------------------------------------------

Party                 Votes        %      Change    Seats

------------------------------------------------------------

Conservative Party         1,049   14.5   +06.1       -

Liberal Party              3,705   51.2   -17.3       1

New Democratic Party       1,108   15.3   -03.3       -

Other                      1,381   19.1               -

------------------------------------------------------------

Total                      7,243                      1

------------------------------------------------------------

YUKON TERRITORY

Registered voters:        19,655

Votes cast:               11,878   60.4

------------------------------------------------------------

Party                 Votes        %      Change    Seats

------------------------------------------------------------

Conservative Party         2,486   20.9   -14.3       -

Liberal Party              5,449   45.9   +13.4       1

New Democratic Party       3,012   25.4   -06.5       -

Other                        931   07.8               -

------------------------------------------------------------

Total                     11,878                      1

------------------------------------------------------------

Schematic map

The schematic map below shows the seat breakdown geographically. The top half shows provinces and territories; white boxes indicate urban areas, which are shown in the bottom half. Ontario's golden horseshoe is subdivided again by Toronto. The table below the map gives statistical data by province and territory.

>

Province		BC	AB	SK	MB	ON	QC	NB	NS	PE	NL	NU	NT	YK	Total
Total seats		36	28	14	14	106	75	10	11	4	7	1	1	1	308
Liberal Party	Seats:	8	2	1	3	75	21	7	6	4	5	1	1	1	135
	Pop Vote (%):	28.6	22.0	27.2	33.2	44.7	33.9	44.6	39.6	52.5	48.0	51.2	39.4	45.9	36.7
Conservative Party	Seats:	22	26	13	7	24		2	3		2				99
	Pop Vote (%):	36.2	61.6	41.8	39.1	31.5	8.8	31.1	28.0	30.7	32.3	14.5	17.2	20.9	29.6
Bloc Québécois	Seats:						54								54
	Pop Vote (%):						48.8								12.4
New Democratic Party	Seats:	5			4	7		1	2						19
	Pop Vote (%):	26.6	9.5	23.4	23.5	18.1	4.6	20.6	28.5	12.5	17.5	15.3	39.1	25.4	15.7
Green Party	Seats:
	Pop Vote (%):	6.4	6.2	2.7	2.7	4.5	3.2	3.4	3.3	4.2	1.6	2.9	4.3	4.5	4.3
Christian Heritage Party	Seats:
	Pop Vote (%):	0.3	0.2	0.3	0.9	0.5	0.0		0.1	0.1				0.9	0.3
Marijuana Party	Seats:
	Pop Vote (%):	0.2	0.2		0.4	0.2	0.5	0.1	0.1					2.4	0.3
Progressive Canadian Party	Seats:
	Pop Vote (%):		0.0			0.2			0.3						0.1
Marxist-Leninist Party	Seats:
	Pop Vote (%):	0.1	0.0			0.1	0.1		0.0						0.1
Canadian Action Party	Seats:
	Pop Vote (%):	0.3	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1							0.1
Communist Party	Seats:
	Pop Vote (%):	0.1	0.0		0.2	0.0	0.0								0.0
Libertarian Party	Seats:
	Pop Vote (%):	0.1				0.0	0.0								0.0
Independent/Other	Seats:	1													1
	Pop Vote (%):	1.0	0.1	4.7	0.0	0.3	0.1	0.2	0.1		0.6	16.2			0.4

Seat by Seat breakdown

• See Results of the Canadian federal election, 2004

• Number of Parties: 12
  • First appearance: Conservative Party of Canada, Progressive Canadian Party
  • Reappearance after hiatus: Christian Heritage Party of Canada, Libertarian Party of Canada

Main article: List of political parties in Canada

The following parties held and still hold seats in the House of Commons and were the most closely watched parties during the election. Their leaders all sit in the House (Layton having won his seat in the election).

Liberal Party	Paul Martin
Conservative Party	Stephen Harper
Bloc Québécois	Gilles Duceppe
New Democratic Party	Jack Layton

Liberal Party of Canada

Until the sponsorship scandal, most pundits were predicting that new Prime Minister Paul Martin would lead the Liberals to a fourth majority government, possibly setting a record for number of seats won.

However, polls released immediately after it broke out showed Liberal support down as much as 10% nationwide, with greater declines in its heartland of Quebec and Ontario. Although there was some recovery in Ontario and Atlantic Canada, hopes of making unprecedented gains in the West faded. Popularity of provincial Liberal parties may also have had an effect on federal Liberal fortunes. In Ontario, for instance, the provincial Liberal government introduced an unpopular budget the week of the expected election call, and their federal counterparts then fell into a statistical dead heat with the Conservatives in polls there. The Liberals were also been harmed by high profile party infighting.

The campaign was criticized openly by Liberal candidates, one incumbent Liberal comparing it to the Keystone Kops. The campaign was not helped by Paul Martin being out of the country for the third week of the campaign attending the D-Day anniversary services and a meeting of the G8.

Conservative Party of Canada

In the final months of 2003, the Progressive Conservatives and the Canadian Alliance were running a distant third and fourth, respectively, in public opinion polls.

Many pundits predicted that the combination of the popular and fiscally conservative Martin, along with continued vote-splitting on the right, could have led to the almost total annihilation of the Progressive Conservatives and Canadian Alliance. This fear prompted those two parties to form a united Conservative Party of Canada, which was approved by the Canadian Alliance on December 5, 2003 and by the Progressive Conservatives on December 6, 2003.

The new Conservative Party pulled well ahead of the NDP in the polls just before the election, although its support remained below the combined support that the Progressive Conservatives and the Alliance had as separate parties. On March 20 the Conservatives elected Stephen Harper as its new leader.

The Conservatives gained more ground in polls taken since Harper became leader, and the poll results in the weeks before the election had them within one to two points of the Liberals, sometimes ahead, sometimes behind them. Party supporters hoped that the voters would react negatively to the Liberal attacks on Harper's agenda, and that anger over the sponsorship scandal and other Liberal failures would translate to success at the polls. Although on the eve of the election the party was polling slightly ahead of the Liberals everywhere west of Quebec, it had dropped in support, polling behind or at par with Liberals everywhere except Alberta and British Columbia, where it held onto its traditional support.

New Democratic Party

Prior to the announcement of the union of the right-of-centre parties, some were predicting an NDP official opposition, with the NDP polling ahead of both right-of-centre parties. A new leader (Jack Layton) and clear social democratic policies helped revitalize the NDP. Polls suggested that the NDP has returned to the 18% to 20% level of support it enjoyed in the 1984 Canadian election and 1988 Canadian election. Layton suggested that the NDP would win more than the 43 seats won under Ed Broadbent.

The NDP focused the campaign on winning ridings in Canada' urban centres, hoping especially to pick off seats in central Toronto, Hamilton, Ottawa and Winnipeg. The party's platform was built to cater to these regions and much of Layton's time was spent in these areas.

The campaign stumbled early when the Liberals attacked Layton for blaming the deaths of homeless people on Paul Martin. They accused the NDP of negative campaigning. The NDP did benefit from the general meltdown in Liberal support, but not to the same extent as the Conservatives. An important issue concern for the New Democrats developed with the increasing prospect of NDPers voting Liberal to block a Conservative government. This concern did not manifest itself in the polls, however and the NDP remained at somewhat below twenty-percent mark in the polls for most of the campaign.

Bloc Québécois

The Bloc Québécois (BQ) continued to slide in the polls in most of 2003 after the election of the federalist Quebec Liberal Party at the National Assembly of Quebec under Jean Charest and during the long run-up to Paul Martin becoming leader of the federal Liberals.

However, things progressively changed starting from the winter of 2003, partly because of the Charest government rapidly becoming quite unpopular and of the support for independence in Quebec rising again (49% in March). The tide took its sharp turn when, in February 2004, the sponsorship scandal (uncovered in considerable part by the Bloc) hit the liberal federal government.

These events led to a massive resurgence of the BQ, putting it ahead of the pack once again: according to an Ipsos-Reid poll carried out for the Globe and Mail and CTV between the 4th and the 8th of June, 50% of Quebecers intended to vote for the BQ against 24% for the Liberals.

Speculation was ongoing about the possibility of the Bloc forming alliances with other opposition parties or with an eventual minority government, be it Liberal, Conservative or New Democrat to promote its goals of social democracy and respect of the autonomy of provinces. Leader Gilles Duceppe has stated that the Bloc, as before, will cooperate with other opposition parties or with the government when interests are found to be in common but that having the Bloc participate in a coalition government will categorically not happen.

Minor Parties

Main article: List of political parties in Canada

The following parties did not hold seats in the House of Commons entering the election, and received considerably less media attention throughout the election than their larger competitors. The Greens ran candidates in all 308 ridings; the other parties were running far fewer candidates.

Green Party	Jim Harris	308 candidates
Marxist-Leninist Party	Sandra L. Smith	76 candidates
Marijuana Party	Marc-Boris St-Maurice	71 candidates
Christian Heritage Party	Ron Gray	62 candidates
Canadian Action Party	Connie Fogal	44 candidates
Communist Party	Miguel Figueroa	35 candidates
Progressive Canadian Party	Ernie Schreiber	16 candidates
Libertarian Party	Jean-Serge Brisson	8 candidates

Campaign Slogans

Main article: Slogans of the 2004 Canadian election

These are the official slogans for the 2004 campaigns. The optional parts of the mottos (sometimes not used for efficiency) are put in brackets.

Liberal Party	Moving [Canada] Forward - Allons [or Aller] droit devant (avec l'Équipe Martin)	Choose your Canada
Conservative Party	Demand Better - C'est assez!
Bloc Québécois	Un parti propre au Québec	Parce qu'on est différent (pre-election)
New Democratic Party	[New Energy.] A Positive Choice. - [Une force nouvelle.] Un choix Positif.
Green Party	Someday is now - L'avenir c'est maintenant
Marijuana Party	Let's roll! - Y faut que ça roule!

Issues

• Sponsorship scandal: badly hurt the Liberals in the polls and the theme of widespread corruption was used by all opposition parties, especially the Bloc. The degree of political direction from cabinet ministers especially concerns Canadians.
• Health care: all parties support Canada's government-administered health care system but acknowledge that improvements must be made to meet new demographic challenges and to reduce long wait times. Transfer payments to the provinces have been cut substantially to 16% by the federal Liberal government and it was difficult for Paul Martin to reconcile these cuts with his plan to improve the system.
• Fiscal imbalance: all major parties but the Liberals recognize a monetary imbalance between Ottawa and the provinces and spoke of plans to reduce it, the Bloc Québécois probably being the strongest denouncer of the situation (it has been, these past few years, a major issue brought by all parties of the National Assembly of Quebec). According to the fiscal imbalance theory, Ottawa has achieved its now important surplus by cutting its contributions towards provinces, leaving them with responsibilities much too expensive for their resources. Paul Martin and his Liberals prefer to speak of a fiscal "pressure" on provinces, therefore not admiting directly a responsibility of the Canadian government. Their stance on a solution is not clear: sometimes, a sharp closeness is voiced, like when Martin wrote an open letter to the Quebec finance minister suggesting to Quebec City a raise of their own taxes; sometimes (especially during the campaign), a will to work on the "fiscal pressure" problem is presented by the Liberal party. The Bloc suggested that the GST be given to the provinces.
• Taxation: for the Conservatives, significantly lowering taxes, to stimulate the economy, was be a central issue. The Conservatives also promised to end corporate welfare and replace that programme with tax cuts for all businesses. The Liberals and NDP opposed large tax cuts and argue that money should instead be sent to improve social programs.
• Parliamentary reform: Conservatives have long accused the Liberals of perpetuating undemocratic traditions in parliament, limiting the powers of MPs. Martin called for some reform, but not to the satisfaction of the Conservatives. The Conservatives promised an elected senate and standing committee/provincial review of judicial appointments. The NDP spoke of abolishing the senate.
• Electoral reform: Conservatives promised fixed election dates. The NDP and the Green Party promoted the idea of proportional representation voting.
• Same-sex marriage: the Bloc Québécois and NDP are strongly for same sex marriage. The Liberals sent the issue to be ruled upon by the supreme court and the Liberal caucus is publicly divided on the issue. The majority of Conservative candidates are opposed; the party recently declared its official stance was for the issue to be resolved by a free vote in the Commons. Latest polling for approval/disapproval of SSM is 43%/47%.
• National Missile Defence: the Bush administration wants Canada to join the missile shield. The Conservatives strongly support such a plan while the Bloc and NDP oppose it. Although the Liberals have recently reiterated past opposition to the weaponization of space, they do not have an expressed opinion on the shield and many pundits believe they waited until after the election to join the program. Failing to join the program under NORAD is seen by some critics as an erosion of Canadian sovereignty as the U.S. would have additional responsibility for defending Canadian soil.
• 2003 invasion of Iraq: the Conservatives supported the U.S. war effort, the other parties generally opposed it. In March 2003, Conservative Leader Stephen Harper and former foreign affairs critic Stockwell Day wrote a letter to the Wall Street Journal, in which they condemned the Canadian government's unwillingness to participate in military action against Iraq. Liberal David Pratt, Paul Martin's defence minister before the election, supported the U.S. war effort.
• Homelessness: Canada has one of the highest per capita rates of homelessness in the developed world, which critics allege is largely due to the Liberals failure to build subsidized housing over their eleven years in power.
• Gun registry: Opposed by many rural Canadians, the gun registry has seen huge cost overruns but remains popular in much of urban Canada. The net cost to the tax payer of the Liberal program was originally budgeted to be $2 million (based on implementation costs of $119 million and income from licensing fees of $117 million). The implemenatation cost of the registry is now approaching $2 Billion. The Conservatives strongly oppose the gun registry while the other parties support it. Recent polls have shown that a majority of Canadians want the registry scrapped, but the results vary widely ([1], [1]).
• Marijuana: The Liberals have introduced measures to decriminalize possession of small quantities of marijuana, a move generally supported by the other opposition parties. Stephen Harper, leader of the Conservative Party, is a strong critic of such legislation.
• Ontario budget: Dalton McGuinty's tax raises in Ontario proved highly unpopular, despite being necessitated by a holdover deficit from the previous Progressive Conservative government. The Conservative and the NDP capitalized on the broken promises to attack the Liberals at the federal level.

Leadership races of 2003 and 2004

• 2004 Conservative Party of Canada leadership race
• 2003 Liberal Party of Canada leadership race
• 2003 PC Party of Canada leadership race
• 2003 New Democratic Party leadership race

Poll results

Note: the

• SES Research nightly tracking poll (2004-June-25) (changes from first day, 2004-May-25, listed in parentheses): Liberals 34% (-7), Conservatives 30% (+2), NDP 20% (+2), BQ 12% (+3), Green 4% (+1)
• Ipsos-Reid poll (2004-June-25): Liberal 32%, Conservative 31%, NDP 17%, BQ 12%, Green 6%
• SES Research regional breakdown (2004-June-24) (earlier results at [1])
  • Atlantic: Liberals 45%, NDP 25%, Conservatives 24%, Green 4%, BQ 2%
  • Quebec: BQ 51%, Liberals 28%, Conservatives 11%, NDP 7%, Green 3%
  • Ontario: Liberals 39%, Conservatives 32%, NDP 25%, Green 4%, BQ 1%
  • Manitoba and Saskatchewan: Liberals 39%, Conservatives 34%, NDP 24%, Green 2%, BQ 1%
  • Alberta: Conservatives 62%, Liberals 23%, NDP 13%, Green 2%
  • British Columbia: Conservatives 38%, Liberals 28%, NDP 28%, Green 6%
• SES Research nightly tracking poll (2004-June-18) (changes from first day, 2004-May-25, listed in parentheses): Liberals 34% (-7), Conservatives 29% (+1), NDP 22% (+4), BQ 10% (+1), Green 5% (+2)
• SES Research nightly tracking poll (2004-June-16) (changes from first day, 2004-May-25, listed in parentheses): Conservatives 34% (+6), Liberals 32% (-9), NDP 19% (+1), BQ 12% (+1), Green 3% (0)
• Ipsos-Reid poll (2004-June-15): Liberal 31%, Conservative 32%, NDP 17%, BQ 12%, Green 6%
• SES Research nightly tracking poll (2004-June-7) (changes from first day, 2004-May-25, listed in parentheses): Conservatives 34% (+6), Liberals 32% (-9), NDP 20% (+2), BQ 11% (0), Green 4% (+1)
• Ipsos-Reid poll (2004-June-4): Liberal 32%, Conservative 31%, NDP 17%, BQ 11%, Green 6%
  • Quebec only: BQ 45%, Liberal 28%
  • Ontario only: Conservative 35%, Liberal 32%, NDP 23% (first poll showing Conservatives in front in Ontario since 1985)
• Leger Marketing poll (2004-June-2): Liberal 35%, Conservative 30%, NDP 17%, BQ 12%, Green 5%
• Ipsos-Reid poll (2004-May-31): Liberal 34%, Conservative 30%, NDP 16%, BQ 12%
  • Quebec only: BQ 44%, Liberal 29%
  • Ontario only: Liberal 36%, Conservative 36%
• Ekos poll (2004-May-30): Liberal 38%, Conservative 30%, NDP 18%, BQ 11%
• Ipsos-Reid poll (2004-May-22): Liberal 35%, Conservative 26%, NDP 18%, BQ 12%
  • Quebec only: BQ 50%, Liberal 28%, NDP 8%, Conservative 7%
• COMPAS poll (2004-May-15 to 2004-May-19): Liberal 39%, Conservative 31%, NDP 17%, BQ 11%
  • Québec only: BQ 43%, Liberal 40%, NDP 9%, Conservative 7%
• Ipsos-Reid poll (2004-May-7): Liberal 38%, Conservative 26%, NDP 16%, BQ 10%
  • Québec only: BQ 41%, Liberal 36%
• Leger Marketing poll (2004-Apr-28): Liberal 38%, Conservative 26%, NDP 17%, BQ 12%, Green 4%
  • Québec only [1]: BQ 46%, Liberal 34%, Conservative 8%, NDP 8%, Green 3%
• Ipsos-Reid poll (2004-Apr-26 –Apr-28) Liberal 40%, Conservative 23%, NDP 18%, BQ 11%, Green 5%
  • Québec only: BQ 46%, Liberal 33%, Conservative 8%, NDP 8%
• Environics poll (2004-Mar-29 – 2004-Apr-18): Liberal 39%, Conservative 29%, NDP 19%, BQ 11%
  • Québec only: BQ 45%, Liberal 37%, Conservative 8%, NDP 8%
• Ipsos-Reid poll (2004-Apr-06 – 2004-Apr-08): Liberal 35%, Conservative 28%, NDP 18%, BQ 10%, Green 5%
  • Québec only: BQ 45%, Liberal 30%, Conservative 11%, NDP 10%
• Leger Marketing poll (2004-Mar-28): Liberal 38%, Conservative 26%, NDP 16%, BQ 13%
  • Québec only [1]: BQ 45%, Liberal 36%, Conservative 8%, NDP 8%

See also

• Canadian federal election
• Lists of general elections in Canada
• List of elections in the Province of Canada (pre-Confederation)
• Canadian federal election results since 1867
• Politics of Canada
• List of political parties in Canada
• Minority governments in Canada

External links

• CBC - Canada Votes (includes video files of the whole English debate)
• CTV - Election 2004
• SRC - Élections (in French, includes video files of the whole French debate)
• Cyberpresse - Élections fédérales 2004 (in French, including a regularly updated vote intention graph)
• Elections Canada
• Elections Canada official numbers
• CBC